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28 February 2007  - News Updates
Gateway to prosperity - San Francisco Chronicle
An Indian bid for Dow Chemical - Forbes magazine
India lies in America's blind spot - San Francisco Chronicle


Gateway to prosperity
25 February 2007, San Francisco Chronicle, By Alan T. Saracevic

Tucked away on a leafy college campus in this booming city of 7 million is a fiery, 54-year-old professor who wants to change the way India does business. Ashok Jhunjhunwala doesn't teach business, though. Or accounting. He teaches engineering at the Indian Institute of Technology in Chennai, one of the universities that helps make up India's world-class system of technical schools.

 

The IITs, as they are known around the globe, have a long history of turning out top engineers. Thousands of their graduates have flourished in the global technology marketplace, with a good portion landing in the Bay Area. Many have also stayed home, or returned to India, to help fuel the world's fastest-growing tech economy. But now academics along with the country's business leaders want more for their students than good jobs. They're hoping to instill in their graduates the spirit of innovation and incubation that has been the earmark of Silicon Valley for decades. They want to use technological invention to help India ascend. To put it bluntly, India is sick and tired of simply cranking out the world's best engineers. It now wants to create the world's best ideas.

 

To do so, it will borrow heavily from the model perfected in Silicon Valley, where the academics of Stanford mix with bankers and business experts to create opportunity. Not surprisingly, many of the top supporters of IIT's push into "entrepreneurism" are the very graduates who found their way to the Bay Area over the past 20 or 30 years. The lessons they've learned are now being passed back to their alma mater.

 

Said Jhunjhunwala “What's great about the U.S. is they allow you to fail." And, in a weird way, learning to fail could be the key to India's future. The theory goes that fostering an entrepreneurial climate will help the country overcome its widespread social problems, mostly centered on poverty and illiteracy. The Indian intelligentsia believe deeply that the solutions to these basic dilemmas will come from enterprise rather than government. But that's not the only motivation. From a pure business standpoint, innovating and creating its own Microsofts and Ciscos logically stands to benefit India's place in the global marketplace.

 

M.S. Ananth, serving as director of IIT Madras, understands the IT boom has created entrepreneurial possibilities never imagined by chemical engineers of his generation. And so he is overseeing the creation of a research and development park on the grounds of IIT Madras, where 620 acres of "academic land," as he put it, will be transformed into a center where private industry can intermingle with academic innovation.

 

Jhunjhunwala and some of his colleagues, for instance, recognized that his university did not want to get into the venture capital business. So, true to his philosophy, he innovated. The professor created a business incubator called the Tenet Group to help foster technology startups. But, in a classic Indian twist, the mandate is quite different than what you might find on Sand Hill Road. Rather than trying to build the next Yahoo or Google, hoping to serve the world, Tenet's entrepreneurs are hoping to serve the needs of rural India. As Jhunjhunwala put it: "We decided to focus on rural areas, where 700 million of India's 1.1 billion people still live. We're trying to show that innovation can happen in our own markets. In doing so, we're coming up with new ideas to help the nation."

 

Walking around the group's offices, which are integrated into the IIT campus, one can see many examples of this "socially conscious entrepreneurship":

-- Midas Communications Ltd., one of the earliest Tenet companies, has grown to deliver telecom services to millions across India using breakthrough wireless routing. The company employs 600 in Chennai and does business in 25 other countries.

-- Oops Private Ltd. is creating ways to bring video conferencing to remote villages, using the low-end technologies available. Oops has figured out a way to do video conferencing on bandwidth as low as 20 Kbps, allowing kids to attend classes with teachers hundreds of miles away.

-- ReMeDi Ltd. is using similar bandwidth optimization technology to help villages that have no doctors. And they're delivering the systems for the equivalent of $250.

-- Saloni Desi Crew is a 25-year-old entrepreneur working with Tenet to create job training software for small villages so people can be trained to perform data entry and indexing jobs for clients around the world. She has about 20 job centers in rural India, employing about 60 people.

 

The list goes on. Low-cost weather stations. Rural ATMs that cost about $1,200 compared with the usual $10,000 to $15,000. Thin-client computers that cost about $100. It's all coming out of an IIT system once derided for a lack of innovation. Whether these ideas translate into real money and big companies remains to be seen. As one of their signs in the hallway attests, their dreams are big: "Doubling per-capital rural GDP of India" and "Be the change you want to see in the world." -- Mahatma Mohandas Gandhi.

 

One of the key obstacles facing India's push to create a high-flying startup culture is the environment in which the students and entrepreneurs operate. There is no institutional memory to tap into. No history or tradition of entrepreneurship to cull from. In its place is a wide-ranging and successful IIT diaspora to draw from. In the Bay Area, groups like the Indus Entrepreneurs and Pan IIT have formed to help Indian startups stateside and in India. They offer practical advice and even venture capital in some instances. "Successful IIT graduates in the U.S. want to do something to give back," said Monishi Sanyal, an IIT class of '70 graduate who is the CEO of Intersoft Corp., a software firm in Santa Clara. "I paid 25 rupees a month for my education," said Sanyal. That comes out to about 50 cents. "I have to give something back." Sanyal was instrumental in creating the Pan IIT group, which serves as a meeting place for alums.

Indeed, in Chennai, Jhunjhunwala sees his vision being realized. "Innovation happens when three types get together," said Jhunjhunwala, visibly enthused. "A professor, an experienced businessperson ... and a student who does not know it can't be done."

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An Indian Bid for Dow Chemical?
27 February 2007, Forbes magazine, By Ruth David

 

Reliance Industries, India’s largest company by market capitalization, is reportedly seeking $2 billon in financing from banks to develop a gas field off India’s east coast, and it may be maneuvering to acquire a global petrochemical giant. The Times of India reported Tuesday that Chairman Mukesh Ambani was in a position to raise $6 billion to buy foreign firms in concert with private equity funds. According to unnamed sources, the target is either Dow Chemical or a U.S. refinery.

 

The news added to the rumors swirling around Dow. Its shares rose sharply Monday following a report in the British Sunday Express that the blue-chip company could get a record takeover bid worth up to $54 billion from a consortium of private-equity firms.

 

Separately, Reliance has reportedly asked banks to submit proposals by March 5 for a 10-year, $2 billion loan to help it develop the Krishna Godavari gas field. Reliance believes the field could produce as much as 80 million cubic meters of gas of day — almost as much as India currently consumes. Reliance, which operates India’s largest refinery, is also spending $3 billion to build a petrochemical plant with a capacity of 2 million tons annually in western India.

 

This weekend, Reliance Industries said Ambani and his associates would buy warrants convertible into shares, prompting speculation that he plans to maintain a majority stake in case of a share sale. Ambani and his associates, who own 50.62% of the company, will buy 120 million warrants convertible into an equal number of shares. That will boost share capital by 8.6%. The warrants will be convertible at its current market price of 1,402 rupees ($31.83) over 18 months.

Overseas acquisitions aside, Reliance, which has a market cap of $44 billion, needs billions of dollars for its domestic ventures. It is planning to sink $5 billion into the first phase of its push into the oil and gas industry, and it intends to invest $5.6 billion in retail ventures through 2011.

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India lies in America's blind spot
11 February 2007, San Francisco Chronicle, By Cheryll Barron

 

In 1998 after India's second round of nuclear tests, veteran geopolitical analyst and State Department watcher Martin Sieff wrote "Everyone in Washington ignores India". He complained that America, obsessed by small, insignificant countries, was failing to court India and "secure an important ally." Not until November was there a sign of such advice being heeded. The United States agreed to share nuclear technology with the subcontinent, but only after fierce lobbying by rich and prominent Indian Americans, including Bay Area venture capitalists.

 

On Jan. 31, India's Tata group, a conglomerate founded in the 1860s and today controlled by a charitable foundation, bought Corus -- the Anglo-Dutch steelmaker that employs 47,000 people and contains the heart of Industrial Age Britain, the company once known as British Steel. Tata is one-fifth the size of Corus, and the takeover was the biggest foreign purchase ever made by an Indian company. Ratan Tata, the company's chairman said that outbidding a Brazilian rival, Companhia Siderurgica Nacional, had led to "a moment of great fulfillment for India." This $12.2 billion corporate takeover in late January, Europe treated like a scary number on the Richter scale. Writing in the Independent, the upscale paper of the British left, Hamish McRae -- one of the most sober and respected economics writers for more than 30 years -- said the acquisition signified "a shift of seismic proportions, something far beyond anything that has occurred in our lifetimes." This corporation, India's largest after the buyout, has for decades given workers in its company town subsidized housing and electricity, free purified water, hospital care and schooling for children.

 

Large Indian corporations in industries ranging from pharmaceuticals to software have quietly been growing bolder about snapping up companies in the United States and Europe, and this reflects the steady upward revision of economic forecasts for India, now that its gross domestic product has grown at an average yearly rate of more than 8 percent for four years -- a pace that could reach double figures by the end of this year. The latest projections from Goldman Sachs, the international investment bank, show India's economy overtaking Italy's in size by 2012, France's by 2015 and Britain's by 2016. Goldman Sachs also expects that while China's economy will be larger than America's by the 2030s, India's could zoom past the United States by 2045.

 

Book publishing trends can be an index of what the educated population of a country considers important. It has been more than a decade since Indian writers like Salman Rushdie, Arundhati Roy, Vikram Seth and Jhumpa Lahiri supplanted Latin American magical realists on U.S. lists of best-selling foreign fiction. Indian cookbooks do well, Bollywood music has for some time been fashionable on university campuses, the Indian-born M. Night Shyamalan has directed Hollywood blockbusters, and yoga is so popular that strains of it are tailored for Americans.

 

Accelerating in the 1960s, with the New Age philosophizing that came with tie-dyed T-shirts and beads and was just as superficial, the crowd-pleasing Indian cultural exports have satisfied American appetites for aesthetic exoticism. By contrast -- and not only because of an outsourcing boom during a deep recession three years ago -- Indian software companies' ever-greater importance in world trade has caused deep unease as they have graduated from routine coding to systems specification and software architecture.

 

Recently, The Chronicle reported on a joint UC Berkeley and Duke University study revealing that a quarter of U.S. technology companies created between 1995 and 2004 had at least one foreign founder. But the paper did not record that the study also uncovered an astonishing fact -- that more Indian immigrants were at the helm of U.S. engineering and technology startups over the period than migrants from China, the United Kingdom, Japan and Taiwan combined. Nor did it say that Indian-born entrepreneurs were principal founders of 26 percent of immigrant-led Silicon Valley ventures, just overtaking Chinese and Taiwanese founders, who accounted for 24.4 percent of the total. Yet in the week that these findings were released, The Chronicle splashed across its arts pages a magnificent color spread about the Indian novelist Vikram Chandra and his million-dollar book advance.

 

Many Americans have resented Indians' traditional pride in their "ancient and spiritual civilization" and read into it -- accurately or not -- an implication that it is superior to the materialistic New World's. There are Americans who still cannot forgive India for aligning itself for 30 years with the old Soviet Union, even after that Bolshevik invention fell apart, and even though its rump, Russia, now openly prefers China as an ally.

 

By some estimates, three years from now China and India will together churn out 12 times as many engineers, mathematicians, scientists and technicians as the United States. True, only a small proportion of these are educated to high standards today, but that will improve. Even without any strategic political incentives for treating India as an honored friend -- such as hoping for help with keeping Chinese expansionism in check -- it is impossible to see the United States holding its own in the knowledge economy taking shape without leaning heavily on Indian as well as Chinese workers of many stripes.

Meanwhile, China's foreign minister, Li Zhaoxing; India's external-affairs minister Pranab Mukherjee; and Russia's foreign minister Sergey Lavrov, were applauding the progress they had just made in a mini-lovefest that took place this week in New Delhi. Notes Britain's Times, taking stock of the three-nation talks: "India, China and Russia account for 40 percent of the world's population, a fifth of its economy and more than half of its nuclear warheads. Now they appear to be forming a partnership to challenge the U.S.-dominated world order that has prevailed since the end of the Cold War." Translation (for anyone who may be listening) in Washington: Make diplomacy, not war.

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